Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000115 0.000121 0.000129 0.000137 0.000146 0.000156
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000108 0.000117 0.000129 0.000143 0.000158 0.000177
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000127 0.000145 0.000166 0.000194
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000098 0.000111 0.000128 0.000150 0.000177 0.000215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000096 0.000111 0.000130 0.000156 0.000189 0.000239
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000127 0.000155 0.000193 0.000252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000123 0.000152 0.000193 0.000257
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000083 0.000098 0.000120 0.000150 0.000194 0.000265
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000115 0.000145 0.000189 0.000263
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000148 0.000197 0.000283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000093 0.000117 0.000153 0.000208 0.000311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000118 0.000157 0.000218 0.000337
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000075 0.000094 0.000121 0.000164 0.000234 0.000380
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000073 0.000092 0.000120 0.000164 0.000240 0.000404
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000118 0.000164 0.000244 0.000424
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000118 0.000167 0.000255 0.000465
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000089 0.000120 0.000173 0.000271 0.000523
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000087 0.000118 0.000171 0.000272 0.000542
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000065 0.000084 0.000114 0.000166 0.000267 0.000540
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082 0.000111 0.000163 0.000265 0.000550
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107 0.000157 0.000255 0.000530
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107 0.000160 0.000266 0.000581
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000109 0.000165 0.000282 0.000658